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$55.05 1.85 (3.48%)
5/16/2008 4:01 PM

Marathon Oil Corp (MRO)

CAPS Rating:
*****

Engaged in worldwide exploration, production and marketing of crude oil and natural gas; domestic refining, marketing and transportation of crude oil and petroleum products.

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Total Players

919 Outperforms
48 Underperforms
 

All-Stars

393 Outperforms
9 Underperforms
 

Wall Street

9 Outperforms
0 Underperforms
 

Players bullish on MRO are also bullish on:

Players bearish on MRO are also bearish on:

Ticker Tags

Large Cap (467), Texas (24), Houston (6), Business Week 50 (50), Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing (39), Dividend (187), Marketing (26), S&P 500 (484)
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Marathon Oil Corp At A Glance

Current Price: $55.05
Last Trade Time: 5/16/2008 4:01 PM
Open: $54.03
Previous Close: $53.20
Daily Range: $54.00 - $55.75
52-Week Range: $43.24 - $67.04
Volume: 8,308,735
Market Cap: $37.66B
P/E Ratio: 9.32
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Stock Trends

MRO VS S&P 500 (SPY)

MRO 12 month chart vs. S&P

News & Discussion Boards

Other News Headlines for MRO

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Top Bull Pitch

Recs

1

Marathon Oil Corp (MRO)

Avatar ToKLogsdail (77.09) Submitted: 2/09/08 6:39 PM

This stock is off its 52 week week high. Oil will still be around for a long time and will continue to do so. With this stock trading way below 12x earnings then pricing in the growth rate.. I see virtually no downrisk either. This is the definition of value

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Top Bear Pitch

Recs

1

Marathon Oil Corp (MRO)

Avatar wcwhiner (98.34) Submitted: 4/20/07 11:54 AM

Yes, MRO caught a downgrade so I cashed in and am still shorting energy. Wrong and stubborn so far on that latter sector bet (though the last few days have been an eensy consolation prize). Still, current prices and spreads strike me as unsustainable in a slowing-growth economy, and while I am not a...More

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Recs

0

 (MRO)

Avatar DrDe1167 (55.76) Submitted: 5/16/08 4:49 PM : Outperform Start Price: $51.91 MRO Score: -5.20

Although Marathon lags other similar energy stocks, it has the potential to maintain a steady growth that may equal or surpass others over a longer time frame. With an almost 85% institutional ownership and an EPS of 5.67 this should be a part of your "moderation" or "safe" portfolio.

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Recs

0

 (MRO)

Avatar ricksdancer (54.35) Submitted: 5/15/08 3:06 PM : Outperform Start Price: $52.70 MRO Score: 3.94

Another one I have owned for years. They have lots of room to grow. Not enough refineries in the world. I suspect they will acquire a major independent this year.

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Recs

0

 (MRO)

Avatar Dadux2 (73.76) Submitted: 5/15/08 1:50 PM : Outperform Start Price: $52.30 MRO Score: 4.64

The Bakken Formation

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Recs

0

 (MRO)

Avatar LEGMAKER (86.97) Submitted: 5/11/08 10:36 PM : Outperform Start Price: $52.60 MRO Score: 2.21

There were plenty of people bearish on MRO this year. Ever increasing oil prices looked to smack this company with decreasing margins on their refining business. As they have refining exposure, they are also an oil exploration company while transporting hydrocarbons. The shares of this company have been pushed down with the other refiners, but the high price of oil helped pull them through as they beat quarterly estimates. This past quarter has shown how strong oil and gas pricing has been as one oil and gas exploration company after another beat analyst estimates. They have more ahead as their much anticipated Neptune project is estimated to be online in the third quarter.





Looking at this quarter they did see a much better refining margin towards the latter part. This is important if oil prices have peaked that the price of gas will increase significantly while oil prices pull back. Marathon also saw an increased in realized prices with respect to hydrocarbons and increased production. Overall, hydrocarbon price and production increased across the board.





With respect to their balance sheet, MRO earned a $1.07 a share which beat estimates by 30%. Analysts averaged earnings of $.82 per share. Earnings were $731 million vs. $717 a year earlier. These earnings didn't sink in the day after but actually two days from the conference call everyone seemed to realize how much the price of oil helped this company. It can be seen by growth of revenue which increased 39% from $13 billion to $18.1 billion. Oil price was up 70% year over year at $98 a barrel in record pricing. Exploration and production increased 78% with respect to higher hydrocarbon prices. The refining unit was down $420 million for the quarter.





This company is a great growth story and looks to continue it. Looking at estimates, the analysts are all over the board. For next quarter they are estimated to earn $1.84 a share, but that is with a low estimate of $1.29 and high of $2.43. This is important as companies that have this type of inconsistency can stand to have a breakout year, and with the first quarter results possibly being their worst we could see a very good year. Generally refining margins do improve at some point during the year, unless oil goes up all summer. If $120 was a top then we could see the refiners have a historic second half of the year. Either way, I believe that MRO will come in higher than average earnings estimates.





Full 2008 estimates have Marathon making $6.18 a share this year. If the first quarter is any sign, I believe that the company will earn $6.76 a share due to increased growth in hydrocarbons. I also believe the current valuation of the company should be closer to that of a Chevron. It would be a little lower as MRO has a little more exposure to refining. Their PE at 10 and earnings of $6.76 would give a stock price of $67.60. That would be 34% above the current price and seems to be an easy estimate to hit.





Looking at their chart, MRO had a triple top breakout on May 2nd. This trend places a price target of $62 on the stock. Looking at the stock it seems well positioned to go to $62, probably on real good news or a continued strengthening of the dollar but that was the last point of resistance and had a very high level of volume traded. The 50 day moving day average was blown through and looks very bullish. I have a price target of $55 in the next six months.

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Recs

0

 (MRO)

Avatar yardvan (53.25) Submitted: 5/08/08 11:53 PM : Outperform Start Price: $52.75 MRO Score: 1.28

oil going up uop buy buy buy

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Wall Street

Results 1 - 9 of 9  

picks per page. CHANGE Expand All Pitches

Top
Pick		Player NamePlayer RatingStart
Date		CallTime FrameStart
Price		Stock
Gain		S&P
Gain		ScorePitch
TrackDreman 93.98 12/31/07 Outperform NS $60.57-9.12%-2.43%-6.69 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
TrackDeutscheSec 89.01 11/16/07 Outperform NS $54.97+0.15%-2.49%+2.64
TrackCreditSuiss 94.46 11/02/07 Outperform NS $57.99-5.07%-5.85%+0.78
TrackSnow 75.82 09/30/07 Outperform NS $56.51-2.59%-6.50%+3.91 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
TrackJohnKeeley 94.46 09/30/07 Outperform NS $56.51-2.59%-6.50%+3.91 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
TrackCitigroup 89.10 08/10/07 Outperform NS $48.26+14.06%-1.20%+15.26
TrackLehmanBros 85.46 08/09/07 Outperform NS $50.33+9.39%-3.24%+12.62
TrackZacks 93.00 05/18/07 Outperform 3M $56.50-2.57%-6.53%+3.96 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
TrackBofASec 93.49 05/15/07 Outperform NS $54.91+0.25%-5.34%+5.58
TrackJimCramer 80.65 03/20/06 Outperform 3W $36.54+50.65%+9.38%+41.27

Results 1 - 9 of 9  

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