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$35.22 1.94 (5.83%)
10/13/2008 2:44 PM

Triumph Group, Inc. (TGI)

CAPS Rating:
****

The Company through its subsidiaries, engages in the design, engineering, manufacture, repair, overhaul, and distribution of aircraft components.

Rating a stock in CAPS consists of three components:

Your call - Will this stock outperform or underperform the S&P 500? Successful picks are measured in terms of whether or not you were correct and by how many percentage points.

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What the Community Thinks

Total Members

217 Outperforms
6 Underperforms
 

All-Stars

28 Outperforms
4 Underperforms
 

Wall Street

10 Outperforms
1 Underperforms
 

Members bullish on TGI are also bullish on:

Members bearish on TGI are also bearish on:

Ticker Tags

Aerospace/Defense Products & Services (60), Small Cap (1922), Services (251)
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Triumph Group, Inc. At A Glance

Current Price: $35.22
Last Trade Time: 10/13/2008 2:44 PM
Open: $34.09
Previous Close: $33.28
Daily Range: $33.70 - $35.79
52-Week Range: $30.23 - $83.42
Volume: 171,423
Market Cap: $860.28M
P/E Ratio: 10.17
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Stock Trends

TGI VS S&P 500 (SPY)

TGI 12 month chart vs. S&P

News & Discussion Boards

Top Bull Pitch

Recs

4

Triumph Group, Inc. (TGI)

Avatar xthecritic (43.49) Submitted: 2/25/08 3:52 PM

I am long all things aircraft construction related. I am happy to grab triumph at a very significant discount after the stock took a hit the last month or so. Air travel is a long term growth market and the way to play it is through the supply chain not the carriers. Emerging economies are going ...More

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Top Bear Pitch

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CAPS Members

picks per page. CHANGE

Results 1 - 5 of 23 :   1 2 3 4 5 Next »

Recs

0

 (TGI)

Avatar gomb0824 (< 20) Submitted: 10/09/08 10:32 AM : Outperform Start Price: $35.25 TGI Score: 0.89

Good company; good fundamentals. Going long after the drop.

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Recs

0

 (TGI)

Avatar tutaemeia (86.95) Submitted: 9/16/08 6:45 PM : Outperform Start Price: $49.46 TGI Score: -8.85

Manufactures, distributes, repairs and overhauls aircraft components and fabricates, processes and distributes metal industrial products.

TGI have a good business for this unstable political period in the world, remember the time of the "cold war".

Apart of that, TGI seems to have a good management:
P/E = 10,20x
P/B = 1,19
Current Ratio = 3,23
Price/Sales = 0,70
5Y revenue growth rate = 15,28%

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Recs

0

 (TGI)

Avatar APHosea (72.70) Submitted: 9/14/08 8:06 PM : Outperform Start Price: $56.16 TGI Score: -11.29

sold some shares 9-15-08

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Recs

0

 (TGI)

Avatar MiamiStuDog (87.94) Submitted: 9/14/08 12:42 AM : Outperform Start Price: $53.72 TGI Score: -8.82

I’ve found that when screening and evaluating stocks, that my picks tend to run in cycles through certain industries. This is not surprising, given that certain industries fall out of favor, get cheap, and then attract attention again.

Recently I made a play on PCP, and am now looking at another player in the same space, Triumph Group. TGI operates in the Aerospace/Defense Products & Services segment. The stock has been beaten up, down 33% over the last 52-weeks, but is currently above its 50-day average.

Average Profitability is slightly below what I usually look for, due to a lower ROA. This is a capital intensive industry, which would require a larger asset base.

Over the last 10 years, the company has been consistently profitable, with Net Income rising in 7 of those years. Operating Cash Flow is positive. Capital Investment exceeds OCF, financed by loans, but Debt/Equity is low at 0.58.

With a PE of 12.2 and PEG of 0.57, the company looks attractively valued. It is trading at the low end of its historical PE. Its Price/Sales, Price/Book and Price/Cash are all below both the Industry and S&P 500 levels.

The stock trades today at 54.43. My valuation models generate target prices in the range of 70-95. Taking the low end of that range would indicate that the stock is 29% undervalued.

For comparison purposes S&P calculates a Target Price of $80, a Fair Value of $69, Four Stars and a Buy Rating.

I am a buyer of this stock below $61, and will be buying for my real-world portfolio.

Happy Investing!

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Recs

0

 (TGI)

Avatar smartSheep (24.18) Submitted: 9/07/08 3:13 PM : Outperform Start Price: $57.41 TGI Score: -13.47

Small company with outstanding recent growth and low peg. Defense will continue to be funded no matter who wins '08.

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Wall Street

Results 1 - 11 of 11  

picks per page. CHANGE Expand All Pitches

Top
Pick
Member NameMember RatingStart
Date
CallTime FrameStart
Price
Stock
Gain
S&P
Gain
ScorePitch
TrackDreman 83.00 03/31/08 Outperform NS $56.85-38.07%-27.40%-10.67 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
TrackJimCramer 82.23 02/07/08 Underperform 3W $56.96-38.19%-28.46%+9.72
TrackAmTech < 20 11/13/07 Outperform NS $74.10-52.48%-34.38%-18.10
TrackDADavidson 49.78 10/26/07 Outperform NS $77.48-54.55%-37.08%-17.48
TrackSchneider < 20 09/30/07 Outperform NS $81.50-56.80%-37.21%-19.59 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
TrackSherman 89.96 09/30/07 Outperform NS $81.50-56.80%-37.21%-19.59 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
TrackCalyonSec < 20 09/18/07 Outperform NS $81.24-56.66%-35.62%-21.03
TrackBofASec 93.20 09/14/07 Outperform NS $77.80-54.74%-35.25%-19.49
TrackUBS 83.05 08/22/07 Outperform NS $75.41-53.31%-34.38%-18.93
TrackStifel 92.67 03/01/07 Outperform NS $52.80-33.32%-31.24%-2.08
TrackRyanBeck 67.33 01/29/07 Outperform NS $55.45-36.50%-32.62%-3.88

Results 1 - 11 of 11  

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