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Nova Biosource Fuels, Inc. (NASDAQOTH:NBFAQ)

CAPS Rating: No stars

Nova Biosource Fuels, Inc. is an energy company that refines and markets ASTM standard biodiesel and related co-products.

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Caps

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All Players

63 Outperform
61 Underperform
 

All-Star Players

5 Outperform
19 Underperform
 

Wall Street

1 Outperform
0 Underperform
 

Top NASDAQOTH:NBFAQ Bull/Bear Pitches

The best Bull and Bear pitches based on recency and number of recommendations.

OneStarHero (< 20)
Submitted June 16, 2007

This stock has been dropping like a Chevy Nova dropping off a cliff in Nova Scotia, but now its going to explode like a supernova.

ThaProphet (< 20)
Submitted June 18, 2008

Just read the second quarter results on June 10th and am not impressed. "We expect our costs to range from $0.40 per pound to$0.42 per pound on average for the third quarter." -Sounds great right? Well not when you realize that 7.5 pounds of… More

NASDAQOTH:NBFAQ VS S&P 500 (SPY)

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Recent Community Commentary

Read the most recent pitches from players about NBFAQ.

Recs

2
Member Avatar ThaProphet (< 20) Submitted: 6/18/2008 4:47:10 PM : Underperform Start Price: $2.22 NASDAQ OTHER:NBFAQ Score: +212.87

Just read the second quarter results on June 10th and am not impressed.

"We expect our costs to range from $0.40 per pound to$0.42 per pound on average for the third quarter." -Sounds great right? Well not when you realize that 7.5 pounds of feedstock equals 1 gallon. So you are talking about the feedstock alone costing $3.00-3.15/gal.
"Biodiesel production costs are highly dependent on feedstock prices, with feedstock representing approximately 75% to 85% of the finished product cost" -Wow! 75% to 85% is a huge difference. That's like saying "Well, our profit margin is somewhere between 0% and 10%." Not to mention the carefully worded "finished product cost" which is meaningless. There is no doubt in my mind that they intentionally avoided saying "total production cost", which would have left out any gray area. The reason, of course, is that the actual percentage is probably far lower, which is one of the reasons why this company is not making a profit.
Just for fun, let's assume that they will pay $3.15/gal for feedstock during the third quarter, and that this will comprise 75% of TOTAL production cost. If this dream were to be a reality, the total production cost for a gallon of biodiesel would be $4.20 for the third quarter. Let's assume a very modest market price of $4.70/gal for the third quarter. That's a POSITIVE profit margin of 10%. Unless of course they're lying. No! Could it be??? Underperform this stock in CAPS any time that it rises above $1.50, period...

Recs

0
Member Avatar rhanley13 (< 20) Submitted: 1/3/2008 1:33:23 PM : Outperform Start Price: $2.78 NASDAQ OTHER:NBFAQ Score: -216.20

This is a big mover for BioDiesel. Starting by Executives from XOM and Shell

Recs

0
Member Avatar hope2makemoney (21.91) Submitted: 12/15/2007 7:54:36 PM : Outperform Start Price: $2.14 NASDAQ OTHER:NBFAQ Score: -214.97

New plants, cheap feedstock, business is growing.

Leaderboard

Find the members with the highest scoring picks in NBFAQ.

Score Leader

MFBriguy

MFBriguy (99.94) Score: +273.19

The Score Leader is the player with the highest score across all their picks in NBFAQ.

Top
Pick
Member Name Member
Rating
Start
Date
Call Time
Frame
Start
Price
Stock
Gain
Index
Gain
Score Commentary
ToeInsider 32.06 3/11/2008 Underperform NS $1.85 -99.99% +139.84% +239.83 0 Comment
tweegar 21.54 3/3/2008 Underperform 5Y $2.04 -100.00% +135.48% +235.48 0 Comment
BuffetRocks 41.80 3/3/2008 Underperform 3M $2.01 -100.00% +135.27% +235.27 0 Comment
bdigregorio 88.80 3/27/2008 Underperform 3Y $1.53 -99.99% +134.13% +234.12 0 Comment
studpicker 32.55 2/15/2008 Underperform NS $2.08 -100.00% +133.80% +233.80 0 Comment
chrislcull 24.34 3/27/2008 Underperform NS $1.55 -99.99% +133.22% +233.21 0 Comment
RagTimeCharley 81.19 3/6/2007 Underperform 5Y $3.10 -100.00% +130.08% +230.08 0 Comment
djelder 64.28 3/15/2007 Underperform 3W $2.82 -100.00% +129.77% +229.77 0 Comment
MFBriguy 99.94 4/3/2008 3/11/2013 Underperform 5Y $1.50 -99.99% +129.39% +229.38 0 Comment
xuanling11 < 20 2/19/2008 Underperform 5Y $2.13 -100.00% +129.36% +229.36 0 Comment

Wall Street

See what the Wall Street professionals think, according to their public statements and filings.

Player Name Player
Rating
Start
Date
Call Time
Frame
Start
Price
Stock
Gain
S&P
Gain
Score End Date Commentary
TrackBroadpointAmTech < 20 4/2/2008 Outperform NS $1.50 -99.99% +1.15% -101.14 4/17/2012 @ $0.00 0 Comment
TrackJefferies 73.68 2/26/2008 Outperform NS $2.15 -67.44% -7.08% -60.36 7/1/2008 @ $0.70 0 Comment
trackmerriman 67.30 8/15/2007 Outperform NS $2.84 -100.00% +121.90% -221.89 0 Comment