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Thomas Group, Inc. (NASDAQOTH:TGISQ)

CAPS Rating: No stars

An operations and process improvement services company that develops and employees methodologies to transform the processes, procedures and people within its clients' organizations to enable more efficient and seamless operations.

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Caps

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All Players

125 Outperform
5 Underperform
 

All-Star Players

17 Outperform
1 Underperform
 

Wall Street

0 Outperform
0 Underperform
 

Top NASDAQOTH:TGISQ Bull/Bear Pitches

The best Bull and Bear pitches based on recency and number of recommendations.

CycleFreak7 (< 20)
Submitted February 11, 2007

On 2-Feb, The company announced a voluntary investigation of stock option grants which seems to be the catalyst that sent the stock price down 20% during the week.These investigations typically don't have any large impact on the company's bottom… More

darkgoody (55.64)
Submitted October 17, 2007

So let me start this out by saying that I think the stock's current valuation is OK, so I'm not thrilled about adding this to my CAPS as an underperform. However, I do not think that this stock deserves a five-star rating at all and I was surprised… More

NASDAQOTH:TGISQ VS S&P 500 (SPY)

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Fools bearish on NASDAQOTH:TGISQ are also bearish on:

Recent Community Commentary

Read the most recent pitches from players about TGISQ.

Recs

4
Member Avatar darkgoody (55.64) Submitted: 10/17/2007 2:43:24 PM : Underperform Start Price: $9.08 NASDAQ OTHER:TGISQ Score: +168.64

So let me start this out by saying that I think the stock's current valuation is OK, so I'm not thrilled about adding this to my CAPS as an underperform. However, I do not think that this stock deserves a five-star rating at all and I was surprised to see the unanimity of opinion about this mediocre company.

So I'm throwing in with the bears. Let's review:

1) TGIS brings in over 90% of its revenue from government contracts (mostly federal) that have been shrinking for the last two years. Federal spending is already at an unsustainable level and it's likely dept.s (except Defense) will have to cut costs in the coming years.

2) Both net income and ROE have been trending downward (significantly) for at least the last three quarters. The stock has trended down with them appropriately and is probably fairly valued.

3) TGIS operates in a service sector with much larger competitors. The company's mission "using technology to streamline processes and improve efficiency"...hmm...I bet you could think of more than a handful of firms that do exactly the same thing. I can't find a competitive advantage that gives the company's "Resultants" (no joke, that's what they call them) an edge.

BIG THUMBS DOWN. I've done only cursory research on the company, and if someone can prove me wrong, PLEASE DO.

Recs

0
Member Avatar holopoj (31.82) Submitted: 7/2/2007 2:04:08 PM : Outperform Start Price: $10.70 NASDAQ OTHER:TGISQ Score: -171.10

magic formula

Recs

0
Member Avatar piyopiyo13 (< 20) Submitted: 6/26/2007 8:39:19 AM : Outperform Start Price: $10.18 NASDAQ OTHER:TGISQ Score: -172.63

Does consulting work to help companies improve efficiency and competitiveness. Seems to be doing the same in house, with operating margin increasing from 4.24% in 2003 to 12.06% in 2006. Trades at a reasonable 12 times FCF, has no debt and has grown revenues at about 40% for the past two years. High insider ownership, about 65% between Edward and Chain, both members of the board. Currently pays 3.9% dividend, has increased dividends every year and has plenty of room to increase dividend judging by FCF. P/E is 10, roughly half of competitors such as ACN.

Lower P/E may be due to risk of severe client concentration. About 90% of revenues come from US Navy. No indication from management that diversification is a top priority. However, Chain is a retired general, who has been/is a member of various corporate boards, including Burlington Northern, Northrop Grumman, and RJ Reynolds. One can only assume that he has various ties in the military/government that will help ensure that the business keeps rolling in, esp. when he has such a vested interest in the company.

No analysts cover this stock. Overall, I think the add'l risk from only having one client is mitigated by Chain. All other metrics point to this stock being undervalued. I think the stock is worth between $16 and $20 based on a dividend yield model and a discounted FCF model.

Leaderboard

Find the members with the highest scoring picks in TGISQ.

Score Leader

ContraCAPS

ContraCAPS (54.93) Score: +191.78

The Score Leader is the player with the highest score across all their picks in TGISQ.

Top
Pick
Member Name Member
Rating
Start
Date
Call Time
Frame
Start
Price
Stock
Gain
Index
Gain
Score Commentary
ContraCAPS 54.93 10/17/2006 Underperform 3W $10.54 -99.95% +91.82% +191.78 0 Comment
MRTShorts 99.22 11/9/2007 Underperform NS $8.65 -99.94% +77.20% +177.14 0 Comment
chriscricket < 20 4/20/2007 Underperform 5Y $12.19 -99.96% +75.75% +175.71 1 Comment
xodys 51.15 6/4/2007 Underperform 3M $10.92 -99.95% +69.66% +169.61 0 Comment
darkgoody 55.64 10/17/2007 Underperform 5Y $9.08 -99.94% +68.69% +168.64 3 Comments
OracleofNormal < 20 10/11/2007 Outperform 5Y $10.27 -99.95% +64.50% -164.45 0 Comment
oneStinkyBum 47.77 10/11/2007 Outperform 1Y $10.27 -99.95% +64.50% -164.45 0 Comment
abc123fool < 20 10/11/2007 Outperform 5Y $10.27 -99.95% +64.50% -164.45 0 Comment
willphipps 30.26 10/11/2007 Outperform 1Y $10.17 -99.95% +64.99% -164.94 0 Comment
TheCreek 81.35 10/12/2007 Outperform 5Y $9.89 -99.95% +65.75% -165.70 0 Comment

Wall Street

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